Al Shabab Riyadh 2-3 Al Ittihad-Jeddah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 20 May 2025

📅20/05/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.89
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
33%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.96
Over 2.5
61%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.38
No
40%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
6.75
2-3 Goals
37%
2.17
4-5 Goals
29%
2.38
6+ Goals
14%
4.51
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
18%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
49%
-6.1pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.2pp
33%
Away Win
28%
+5.0pp
39%
Under 2.5
30%
+8.5pp
61%
Over 2.5
70%
-8.5pp
60%
BTTS Yes
68%
-8.5pp
40%
BTTS No
32%
+8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Shabab Riyadh EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ittihad-Jeddah EU Bookmakers 32%
+10% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +18%
1.75/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.61
+15% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / +0%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
367 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 79%
23.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.2
18.5 Crosses 14.7
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Shabab Riyadh
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Al Ittihad-Jeddah
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.87 xG 1.73
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
376 Passes 410
83% Pass Accuracy 84%
24 Box Touches 24
17 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.04.2025 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah 3-2 HT 1-0 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh SAKK
22.01.2025 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah 2-1 HT 2-1 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh SUUD
26.04.2024 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah 1-3 HT 0-0 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh SUUD
03.11.2023 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh 1-0 HT 1-0 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah SUUD
27.04.2023 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah 2-1 HT 1-0 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh SUUD
09.01.2023 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh 1-1 HT 1-1 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Shabab Riyadh
2-3
AWAY Al Ittihad-Jeddah
2.15 xG 1.67
50% Ball Possession 50%
21 Total Shots 6
9 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 2
396 Passes 403
88% Pass Accuracy 87%
37 Box Touches 20
21 Crosses 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Shabab Riyadh vs Al Ittihad-Jeddah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ittihad-Jeddah squeezed past Al Shabab Riyadh 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Al Shabab Riyadh at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Al Shabab Riyadh had 50% of the ball to Al Ittihad-Jeddah's 50%, shots finished 21-6, expected goals 2.15 to 1.67 — on chances, Al Shabab Riyadh could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Ittihad-Jeddah led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Al Shabab Riyadh and 1.50 for Al Ittihad-Jeddah.

What was the final score of Al Shabab Riyadh vs Al Ittihad-Jeddah?

Al Shabab Riyadh 2-3 Al Ittihad-Jeddah in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 20/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Shabab Riyadh vs Al Ittihad-Jeddah?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Shabab Riyadh win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Al Shabab Riyadh 43%, draw 24%, Al Ittihad-Jeddah 33%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Shabab Riyadh) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Shabab Riyadh) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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