Al Ittihad-Jeddah vs Al Shabab Riyadh Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Al Ittihad-Jeddah v Al Shabab Riyadh — Team-Based Signals
Al Ittihad-Jeddah vs Al Shabab Riyadh Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Al Ittihad-Jeddah
SUUD
2-1
HT 1-0
Al Shabab Riyadh
SUUD
1-1
HT 1-1
Al Ittihad-Jeddah
SUUD
1-1
HT 0-1
Al Shabab Riyadh
SAKK
Al Ittihad-Jeddah 3-2 Al Shabab Riyadh — Actual Match Statistics
Al Ittihad-Jeddah nicked a narrow win over Al Shabab Riyadh 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had Al Ittihad-Jeddah as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Al Ittihad-Jeddah had 52% of the ball to Al Shabab Riyadh's 48%, shots finished 16-13, expected goals 3.29 to 0.94 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Al Ittihad-Jeddah's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Al Ittihad-Jeddah and 1.33 for Al Shabab Riyadh.
What was the final score of Al Ittihad-Jeddah vs Al Shabab Riyadh?
Al Ittihad-Jeddah 3-2 Al Shabab Riyadh in the Saudi Arabia Copa del Rey on 01/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Al Ittihad-Jeddah vs Al Shabab Riyadh?
Before kick-off our model rated a Al Ittihad-Jeddah win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Al Ittihad-Jeddah 45%, draw 23%, Al Shabab Riyadh 32%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ittihad-Jeddah), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.