Al Ittihad-Jeddah 2-1 Al Shabab Riyadh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 22 Jan 2025

Al Ittihad-Jeddah
2-1 HT 2-1
Al Shabab Riyadh
📅22/01/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League – 2024/2025

Al Ittihad-Jeddah vs Al Shabab Riyadh Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.61
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
22%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.23
Over 2.5
50%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.63
No
51%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
4.35
2-3 Goals
40%
1.86
4-5 Goals
25%
2.73
6+ Goals
10%
7.56
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.35 — our 25% vs market 17.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
58%
-4.4pp
24%
Draw
22%
+2.3pp
22%
Away Win
20%
+2.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
41%
+8.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
59%
-8.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
57%
-8.6pp
51%
BTTS No
43%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Al Ittihad-Jeddah v Al Shabab Riyadh — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ittihad-Jeddah EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Shabab Riyadh EU Bookmakers 23%
-5% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.82/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/1.63
-13% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / +17%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
392 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 77%
28.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.1
21.2 Crosses 11.1
1.7 Yellow Cards 3.0

Al Ittihad-Jeddah vs Al Shabab Riyadh Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ittihad-Jeddah
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Al Shabab Riyadh
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.63 xG 1.97
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
366 Passes 395
82% Pass Accuracy 83%
26 Box Touches 25
15 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
26.04.2024 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah 1-3 HT 0-0 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh SUUD
03.11.2023 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh 1-0 HT 1-0 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah SUUD
27.04.2023 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah 2-1 HT 1-0 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh SUUD
09.01.2023 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh 1-1 HT 1-1 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah SUUD
22.12.2022 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah 1-1 HT 0-1 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh SAKK
13.03.2022 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh 0-2 HT 0-1 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah SUUD

Al Ittihad-Jeddah 2-1 Al Shabab Riyadh — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Ittihad-Jeddah
2-1
AWAY Al Shabab Riyadh
1.69 xG 1.63
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
554 Passes 373
90% Pass Accuracy 85%
27 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Ittihad-Jeddah vs Al Shabab Riyadh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ittihad-Jeddah nicked a narrow win over Al Shabab Riyadh 2-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Al Ittihad-Jeddah as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Al Ittihad-Jeddah had 58% of the ball to Al Shabab Riyadh's 42%, shots finished 14-6, expected goals 1.69 to 1.63.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Al Ittihad-Jeddah and 1.17 for Al Shabab Riyadh.

What was the final score of Al Ittihad-Jeddah vs Al Shabab Riyadh?

Al Ittihad-Jeddah 2-1 Al Shabab Riyadh in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 22/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ittihad-Jeddah vs Al Shabab Riyadh?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Ittihad-Jeddah win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Al Ittihad-Jeddah 54%, draw 24%, Al Shabab Riyadh 22%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ittihad-Jeddah) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Ittihad-Jeddah) ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
SUUD More Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League
22 Jan 2025
17:00 Al Orubah vs Al-Qadsiah Analysis →
17:55 Al Fateh vs Damac FC Analysis →