Al Fateh 2-1 Damac FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 22 Jan 2025

📅22/01/2025 · 🕒17:55 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.57
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
35%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.21
Over 2.5
52%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.53
No
46%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.19
2-3 Goals
41%
1.83
4-5 Goals
22%
2.78
6+ Goals
12%
7.97
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
11%
2/2
17%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
35%
+4.7pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.3pp
35%
Away Win
39%
-4.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
61%
-7.1pp
46%
BTTS No
39%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Fateh EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Damac FC EU Bookmakers 43%
+0% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.47/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.13
+29% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / +44%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
362 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 77%
24.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.3
20.1 Crosses 18.5
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Fateh
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Damac FC
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
2.08 xG 1.53
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
367 Passes 310
83% Pass Accuracy 82%
28 Box Touches 21
18 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.02.2024 Al Fateh Al Fateh 1-1 HT 0-0 Damac FC Damac FC SUUD
29.08.2023 Damac FC Damac FC 2-2 HT 2-0 Al Fateh Al Fateh SUUD
27.05.2023 Al Fateh Al Fateh 1-1 HT 1-0 Damac FC Damac FC SUUD
20.01.2023 Damac FC Damac FC 3-1 HT 0-1 Al Fateh Al Fateh SUUD
29.05.2022 Damac FC Damac FC 0-3 HT 0-2 Al Fateh Al Fateh SUUD
25.11.2021 Al Fateh Al Fateh 5-5 HT 2-3 Damac FC Damac FC SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Fateh
2-1
AWAY Damac FC
2.90 xG 0.76
52% Ball Possession 48%
20 Total Shots 15
9 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 10
304 Passes 260
82% Pass Accuracy 76%
26 Box Touches 21
29 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Fateh vs Damac FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Fateh nicked a narrow win over Damac FC 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 25% / 35% — and on the day Al Fateh made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Al Fateh had 52% of the ball to Damac FC's 48%, shots finished 20-15, expected goals 2.90 to 0.76 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Al Fateh's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Al Fateh and 2.00 for Damac FC.

What was the final score of Al Fateh vs Damac FC?

Al Fateh 2-1 Damac FC in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 22/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Fateh vs Damac FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Fateh win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Al Fateh 40%, draw 25%, Damac FC 35%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Fateh), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Fateh) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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