Al-Qadsiah 3-1 Al Orubah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 20 May 2025

📅20/05/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.28
Draw
20%
5.28
Away
13%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.89
Over 2.5
60%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
6.47
2-3 Goals
41%
2.14
4-5 Goals
24%
2.41
6+ Goals
14%
4.72
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
31%
X/2
4%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
4%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
74%
-6.6pp
20%
Draw
16%
+4.3pp
13%
Away Win
11%
+2.4pp
40%
Under 2.5
31%
+9.0pp
60%
Over 2.5
69%
-9.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.8pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al-Qadsiah EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Orubah EU Bookmakers 14%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +7%
2.14/0.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.65/2.55
-22% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -43% / -15%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
467 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 78%
32.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.1
27.9 Crosses 13.9
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al-Qadsiah
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Al Orubah
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
2.20 xG 0.92
54% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
473 Passes 377
91% Pass Accuracy 85%
30 Box Touches 10
21 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.01.2025 Al Orubah Al Orubah 0-2 HT 0-2 Al-Qadsiah Al-Qadsiah SUUD
22.09.2024 Al-Qadsiah Al-Qadsiah 4-1 HT 2-0 Al Orubah Al Orubah SAKK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al-Qadsiah
3-1
AWAY Al Orubah
2.83 xG 2.25
63% Ball Possession 37%
17 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
491 Passes 262
89% Pass Accuracy 82%
30 Box Touches 14
23 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Al-Qadsiah vs Al Orubah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al-Qadsiah got the better of Al Orubah 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Al-Qadsiah as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Al-Qadsiah had 63% of the ball to Al Orubah's 37%, shots finished 17-15, expected goals 2.83 to 2.25.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Al-Qadsiah had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Al-Qadsiah and 0.50 for Al Orubah.

What was the final score of Al-Qadsiah vs Al Orubah?

Al-Qadsiah 3-1 Al Orubah in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 20/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al-Qadsiah vs Al Orubah?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al-Qadsiah win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Al-Qadsiah 67%, draw 20%, Al Orubah 13%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al-Qadsiah), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al-Qadsiah) ✓ Over 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
SUUD More Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League
20 May 2025
19:20 Al Taawon vs Al Riyadh Analysis →
21:00 Al Shabab Riyadh vs Al Ittihad-Jeddah Analysis →