Al-Qadsiah 4-1 Al Orubah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Copa del Rey, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.42
Draw
20%
4.34
Away
19%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.03
Over 2.5
46%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.95
No
55%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
3.76
2-3 Goals
36%
1.82
4-5 Goals
21%
3.23
6+ Goals
10%
11.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.76 — our 33% vs market 21.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
7%
1/X
11%
X/1
17%
X/2
5%
X/X
4%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
66%
-4.5pp
20%
Draw
20%
-0.1pp
19%
Away Win
14%
+4.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
45%
+8.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
55%
-8.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.6pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al-Qadsiah EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Orubah EU Bookmakers 17%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -22%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -22%
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
420 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al-Qadsiah
4-1
AWAY Al Orubah
2.62 xG 0.93
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 3
474 Passes 421
91% Pass Accuracy 88%
25 Box Touches 11
16 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al-Qadsiah vs Al Orubah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al-Qadsiah swept aside Al Orubah 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Al-Qadsiah as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al-Qadsiah had 52% of the ball to Al Orubah's 48%, shots finished 13-8, expected goals 2.62 to 0.93.

What was the final score of Al-Qadsiah vs Al Orubah?

Al-Qadsiah 4-1 Al Orubah in the Saudi Arabia Copa del Rey on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al-Qadsiah vs Al Orubah?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al-Qadsiah win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Al-Qadsiah 61%, draw 20%, Al Orubah 19%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al-Qadsiah) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al-Qadsiah) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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