Al Wehda 1-1 Al Faisaly — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Copa del Rey, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.76
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
26%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
Over 2.5
58%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
No
44%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
52%
-4.8pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.8pp
26%
Away Win
23%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Wehda EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Faisaly EU Bookmakers 27%
+28% / +28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -38% / -38%
2.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.00
-10% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -22%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
311 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 243 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
Crosses 16.0
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Wehda
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Al Faisaly
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.55 xG 0.97
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
308 Passes 328
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
15 Box Touches 19
20 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
12.02.2021 Al Faisaly Al Faisaly 2-4 HT 0-1 Al Wehda Al Wehda SUUD
30.10.2020 Al Wehda Al Wehda 1-2 HT 1-1 Al Faisaly Al Faisaly SUUD
30.08.2020 Al Faisaly Al Faisaly 2-1 HT 1-0 Al Wehda Al Wehda SUUD
27.12.2019 Al Wehda Al Wehda 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Faisaly Al Faisaly SUUD
12.04.2019 Al Wehda Al Wehda 1-2 HT 0-0 Al Faisaly Al Faisaly SUUD
20.12.2018 Al Faisaly Al Faisaly 3-0 HT 2-0 Al Wehda Al Wehda SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Wehda
1-1
AWAY Al Faisaly
0.90 xG 0.64
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 4
459 Passes 440
83% Pass Accuracy 81%
21 Box Touches 17
25 Crosses 12
6 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Wehda vs Al Faisaly
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Wehda and Al Faisaly couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Al Wehda at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (56%) landed while over 2.5 goals (58%) missed.

On the day, Al Wehda had 51% of the ball to Al Faisaly's 49%, shots finished 14-9, expected goals 0.90 to 0.64.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Faisaly led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Al Wehda and 1.83 for Al Faisaly.

What was the final score of Al Wehda vs Al Faisaly?

Al Wehda 1-1 Al Faisaly in the Saudi Arabia Copa del Rey on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Wehda vs Al Faisaly?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Wehda win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Al Wehda 47%, draw 26%, Al Faisaly 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Wehda), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Wehda) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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