Al Akhdoud 1-2 Al Arabi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Copa del Rey, 22 Sep 2024

Al Akhdoud
1-2 HT 0-2
Al Arabi
📅22/09/2024 · 🕒18:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Saudi Arabia Copa del Rey – 2025/2026

Al Akhdoud vs Al Arabi Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.57
Draw
21%
3.8
Away
25%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.95
Over 2.5
51%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.82
No
51%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.56
2-3 Goals
38%
1.8
4-5 Goals
26%
3.37
6+ Goals
8%
12.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.56 — our 28% vs market 22.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
59%
-5.2pp
21%
Draw
23%
-1.7pp
25%
Away Win
18%
+6.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.5pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Al Akhdoud v Al Arabi — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Akhdoud EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Arabi EU Bookmakers 21%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -28% / -28%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -37%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
379 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 8.0
– Crosses 12.0
– Yellow Cards 1.0
POST-MATCH Al Akhdoud vs Al Arabi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Arabi squeezed past Al Akhdoud 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Al Akhdoud at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

What was the final score of Al Akhdoud vs Al Arabi?

Al Akhdoud 1-2 Al Arabi in the Saudi Arabia Copa del Rey on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Akhdoud vs Al Arabi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Akhdoud win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Al Akhdoud 54%, draw 21%, Al Arabi 25%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Al Akhdoud), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Akhdoud) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
SAKK More Saudi Arabia Copa del Rey
22 Sep 2024
21:00 Al-Qadsiah vs Al Orubah Analysis →
21:00 Al Wehda vs Al Faisaly Analysis →