Boluspor 1-2 Sarıyer — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 18 Jan 2026

📅18/01/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.19
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
26%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.8
Over 2.5
41%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.75
No
53%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.1
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
3.66
6+ Goals
9%
15.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.1 — our 32% vs market 26.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.28
1/2
7%
32.5
1/X
9%
13.15
X/1
17%
5.17
X/2
11%
6.44
X/X
13%
4.58
2/1
9%
27.0
2/2
8%
4.59
2/X
7%
13.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
42%
+3.3pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.8pp
26%
Away Win
31%
-5.1pp
59%
Under 2.5
52%
+6.9pp
41%
Over 2.5
48%
-6.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.5pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Boluspor EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Sarıyer EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -38% / -38%
1.23/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.58/1.15
-12% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -38%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
312 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 73%
18.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.0
17.9 Crosses 19.6
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Boluspor
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Sarıyer
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.70 xG 1.53
58% Ball Possession 42%
9 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 9
340 Passes 212
82% Pass Accuracy 74%
19 Box Touches 20
11 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 1
16.08.2025 Sarıyer Sarıyer 1-1 HT 0-1 Boluspor Boluspor T1L
29.04.2007 Boluspor Boluspor 0-0 HT 0-0 Sarıyer Sarıyer S2P
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Boluspor
1-2
AWAY Sarıyer
2.37 xG 2.74
68% Ball Possession 32%
18 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 3
424 Passes 170
86% Pass Accuracy 74%
20 Box Touches 16
24 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Boluspor vs Sarıyer
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sarıyer squeezed past Boluspor 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Boluspor at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Boluspor had 68% of the ball to Sarıyer's 32%, shots finished 18-10, expected goals 2.37 to 2.74.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Boluspor and 0.50 for Sarıyer.

What was the final score of Boluspor vs Sarıyer?

Boluspor 1-2 Sarıyer in the Turkey - 1st Division on 18/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Boluspor vs Sarıyer?

Before kick-off our model rated a Boluspor win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Boluspor 45%, draw 29%, Sarıyer 26%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Boluspor) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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