Ümraniyespor 5-0 Serik Spor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 18 Jan 2026

📅18/01/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.53
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
24%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
Over 2.5
49%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
No
47%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
25%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
61%
-9.0pp
24%
Draw
21%
+2.4pp
24%
Away Win
18%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ümraniyespor EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Serik Spor EU Bookmakers 21%
-1% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
1.72/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.81
+3% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -39%
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
413 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 237 · 72%
24.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.4
21.4 Crosses 10.6
1.8 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ümraniyespor
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Serik Spor
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.05 xG 1.13
70% Ball Possession 30%
9 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 2
427 Passes 148
82% Pass Accuracy 65%
11 Box Touches 16
19 Crosses 8
4 Yellow Cards 5
15.08.2025 Serik Spor Serik Spor 1-0 HT 1-0 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ümraniyespor
5-0
AWAY Serik Spor
2.29 xG 0.65
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 3
423 Passes 290
87% Pass Accuracy 78%
19 Box Touches 17
17 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Ümraniyespor vs Serik Spor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ümraniyespor swept aside Serik Spor 5-0. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Ümraniyespor as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Ümraniyespor had 57% of the ball to Serik Spor's 43%, shots finished 16-11, expected goals 2.29 to 0.65.

What was the final score of Ümraniyespor vs Serik Spor?

Ümraniyespor 5-0 Serik Spor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 18/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ümraniyespor vs Serik Spor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ümraniyespor win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Ümraniyespor 52%, draw 24%, Serik Spor 24%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ümraniyespor) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ümraniyespor) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
T1L More Turkey - 1st Division
18 Jan 2026
13:30 Erzurumspor FK vs Amed SK Analysis →
16:00 Boluspor vs Sarıyer Analysis →