Luzern 0-1 Zürich — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 18 Feb 2024

📅18/02/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.33
Draw
22%
3.28
Away
40%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.95
Over 2.5
48%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.66
No
51%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
25%
3.55
2-3 Goals
44%
1.79
4-5 Goals
23%
3.31
6+ Goals
8%
12.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.55 — our 25% vs market 22.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.4
1/2
5%
29.0
1/X
9%
12.55
X/1
12%
5.32
X/2
9%
5.84
X/X
8%
4.67
2/1
11%
26.5
2/2
25%
3.88
2/X
5%
12.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
39%
-1.3pp
22%
Draw
27%
-4.8pp
40%
Away Win
34%
+6.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.6pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Luzern EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Zürich EU Bookmakers 37%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +14%
1.73/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/1.33
+8% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +26%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
300 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 77%
25.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.5
20.3 Crosses 19.9
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Luzern
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Zürich
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.67 xG 1.36
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
245 Passes 305
70% Pass Accuracy 74%
27 Box Touches 19
16 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.12.2023 Zürich Zürich 1-1 HT 0-0 Luzern Luzern İSV
01.10.2023 Luzern Luzern 1-4 HT 0-1 Zürich Zürich İSV
15.04.2023 Luzern Luzern 4-1 HT 2-1 Zürich Zürich İSV
18.03.2023 Zürich Zürich 2-1 HT 1-1 Luzern Luzern İSV
21.01.2023 Luzern Luzern 2-2 HT 0-0 Zürich Zürich İSV
23.07.2022 Zürich Zürich 0-0 HT 0-0 Luzern Luzern İSV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Luzern
0-1
AWAY Zürich
0.68 xG 0.59
33% Ball Possession 67%
9 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
183 Passes 436
71% Pass Accuracy 83%
11 Box Touches 23
14 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Luzern vs Zürich
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zürich edged past Luzern 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 22% / 40% — and on the day Zürich made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Luzern had 33% of the ball to Zürich's 67%, shots finished 9-17, expected goals 0.68 to 0.59.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zürich led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Luzern and 1.67 for Zürich.

What was the final score of Luzern vs Zürich?

Luzern 0-1 Zürich in the Switzerland - Super League on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Luzern vs Zürich?

Before kick-off our model rated an Zürich win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Luzern 38%, draw 22%, Zürich 40%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zürich), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Zürich) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İSV More Switzerland - Super League
18 Feb 2024
16:15 Young Boys vs Stade Ouchy Analysis →
18:30 Servette vs Lugano Analysis →