Servette vs Lugano Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Servette v Lugano — Team-Based Signals
Servette vs Lugano Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 2-0
Lugano
İSV
0-1
HT 0-1
Servette
İSV
0-0
HT 0-0
Lugano
İSV
2-2
HT 1-2
Lugano
İSVK
1-1
HT 0-0
Servette
İSV
2-2
HT 2-1
Lugano
İSV
Servette 2-1 Lugano — Actual Match Statistics
Servette edged past Lugano 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Servette as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Servette had 59% of the ball to Lugano's 41%, shots finished 26-9, expected goals 3.62 to 0.42 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Servette's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Servette had the better of it with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Servette and 1.17 for Lugano.
What was the final score of Servette vs Lugano?
Servette 2-1 Lugano in the Switzerland - Super League on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Servette vs Lugano?
Before kick-off our model rated a Servette win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Servette 43%, draw 28%, Lugano 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Servette) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.