Bochum 3-2 Bayern Münih — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 18 Feb 2024

Bochum
3-2 HT 2-1
Bayern Münih
📅18/02/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Germany - Bundesliga – 2023/2024

Bochum vs Bayern Münih Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
5.34
Draw
25%
4.49
Away
49%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.61
Over 2.5
58%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.61
No
45%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
5.98
2-3 Goals
37%
2.05
4-5 Goals
29%
2.53
6+ Goals
14%
5.63
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
9.53
1/2
9%
19.0
1/X EV+ ✗
10%
17.65
X/1
9%
14.05
X/2
14%
3.78
X/X
7%
7.7
2/1
6%
34.0
2/2
26%
1.65
2/X
8%
17.65
Value flag · 1/X at 17.65 — our 10% vs market 2.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
15%
+11.0pp
25%
Draw
19%
+6.2pp
48%
Away Win
66%
-17.2pp
42%
Under 2.5
35%
+7.3pp
58%
Over 2.5
65%
-7.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.6pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bochum v Bayern Münih — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bochum EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Bayern Münih EU Bookmakers 70%
+31% / +39% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -15%
1.09/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.26/1.22
+23% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -25%
38% Ball Possession 62%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
245 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 473 · 83%
17.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 33.0
14.8 Crosses 17.1
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.9

Bochum vs Bayern Münih Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bochum
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Bayern Münih
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 4.67
0.60 xG 3.52
35% Ball Possession 65%
8 Total Shots 22
3 Shots on Target 11
3 Corners 6
229 Passes 503
72% Pass Accuracy 84%
12 Box Touches 44
14 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
23.09.2023 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih 7-0 HT 4-0 Bochum Bochum AL1
11.02.2023 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih 3-0 HT 1-0 Bochum Bochum AL1
21.08.2022 Bochum Bochum 0-7 HT 0-4 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih AL1
12.02.2022 Bochum Bochum 4-2 HT 4-1 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih AL1
18.09.2021 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih 7-0 HT 4-0 Bochum Bochum AL1
29.10.2019 Bochum Bochum 1-2 HT 1-0 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih AFK

Bochum 3-2 Bayern Münih — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bochum
3-2
AWAY Bayern Münih
1.67 xG 3.42
31% Ball Possession 69%
13 Total Shots 27
4 Shots on Target 10
4 Corners 9
179 Passes 509
65% Pass Accuracy 82%
27 Box Touches 66
17 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Bochum vs Bayern Münih
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bochum squeezed past Bayern Münih 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Bayern Münih at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Bochum had 31% of the ball to Bayern Münih's 69%, shots finished 13-27, expected goals 1.67 to 3.42 — the balance of chances actually favoured Bayern Münih.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bayern Münih led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Bochum and 4.67 for Bayern Münih.

What was the final score of Bochum vs Bayern Münih?

Bochum 3-2 Bayern Münih in the Germany - Bundesliga on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bochum vs Bayern Münih?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bayern Münih win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Bochum 26%, draw 25%, Bayern Münih 48%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Bayern Münih) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bayern Münih) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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