Freiburg 3-3 Eintracht Frankfurt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 18 Feb 2024

📅18/02/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.33
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
33%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.8
Over 2.5
50%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.08
2-3 Goals
41%
1.75
4-5 Goals
22%
3.71
6+ Goals
11%
15.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.45
1/2
9%
31.0
1/X
8%
12.9
X/1
13%
5.14
X/2
11%
5.75
X/X
11%
4.36
2/1
7%
28.5
2/2
13%
4.03
2/X
6%
13.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
39%
+3.0pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.0pp
33%
Away Win
34%
-0.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.7pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Freiburg EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Eintracht Frankfurt EU Bookmakers 37%
+7% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -12%
1.71/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.45
+2% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +0%
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
273 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 74%
23.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.4
18.5 Crosses 17.6
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Freiburg
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Eintracht Frankfurt
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.39 xG 1.04
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
320 Passes 379
74% Pass Accuracy 78%
32 Box Touches 20
19 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 4
06.01.2024 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 2-5 HT 1-2 Freiburg Freiburg HAZ
24.09.2023 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 0-0 HT 0-0 Freiburg Freiburg AL1
27.05.2023 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 2-1 HT 0-1 Freiburg Freiburg AL1
25.01.2023 Freiburg Freiburg 1-1 HT 0-1 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt AL1
10.04.2022 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 1-2 HT 0-1 Freiburg Freiburg AL1
21.11.2021 Freiburg Freiburg 0-2 HT 0-2 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt AL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Freiburg
3-3
AWAY Eintracht Frankfurt
2.24 xG 1.01
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 1
453 Passes 387
81% Pass Accuracy 81%
26 Box Touches 19
21 Crosses 12
POST-MATCH Freiburg vs Eintracht Frankfurt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Freiburg and Eintracht Frankfurt shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 2-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Freiburg at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Freiburg had 54% of the ball to Eintracht Frankfurt's 46%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 2.24 to 1.01.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Freiburg and 1.33 for Eintracht Frankfurt.

What was the final score of Freiburg vs Eintracht Frankfurt?

Freiburg 3-3 Eintracht Frankfurt in the Germany - Bundesliga on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Freiburg vs Eintracht Frankfurt?

Before kick-off our model rated a Freiburg win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Freiburg 42%, draw 25%, Eintracht Frankfurt 33%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Freiburg)
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