Bayern München (K) 2-0 Essen-Schönebeck (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Women's Bundesliga, 18 Feb 2024

📅18/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
69%
1.18
Draw
21%
5.71
Away
10%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.43
Over 2.5
57%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.44
No
54%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
24%
X/2
3%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
3%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
69%
Home Win
80%
-10.4pp
21%
Draw
14%
+7.2pp
10%
Away Win
6%
+3.2pp
43%
Under 2.5
38%
+5.5pp
57%
Over 2.5
62%
-5.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
37%
+8.9pp
54%
BTTS No
63%
-8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bayern München (K) EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Essen-Schönebeck (K) EU Bookmakers 9%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -21%
1.34/0.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.43/0.78
+12% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +150%
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 4
363 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 224 · 71%
38.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.0
20.5 Crosses 18.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bayern München (K)
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Essen-Schönebeck (K)
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
66% Ball Possession 34%
10 Total Shots 3
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 1
08.10.2023 Essen-Schönebeck (K) Essen-Schönebeck (K) 0-2 HT 0-2 Bayern München (K) Bayern München (K) ALKB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bayern München (K)
2-0
AWAY Essen-Schönebeck (K)
2.63 xG 0.38
57% Ball Possession 43%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
360 Passes 224
77% Pass Accuracy 67%
23 Box Touches 16
16 Crosses 23
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Bayern München (K) vs Essen-Schönebeck (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bayern München (K) got the better of Essen-Schönebeck (K) 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Bayern München (K) as the likeliest winner at 69%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Bayern München (K) had 57% of the ball to Essen-Schönebeck (K)'s 43%, shots finished 10-9, expected goals 2.63 to 0.38.

What was the final score of Bayern München (K) vs Essen-Schönebeck (K)?

Bayern München (K) 2-0 Essen-Schönebeck (K) in the Germany - Women's Bundesliga on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bayern München (K) vs Essen-Schönebeck (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bayern München (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Bayern München (K) 69%, draw 21%, Essen-Schönebeck (K) 10%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bayern München (K)), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bayern München (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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