Greifswalder SV 4-0 Lokomotive Leipzig — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 18 Feb 2024

📅18/02/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.75
Draw
29%
3.8
Away
24%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.18
Over 2.5
49%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.63
No
47%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
53%
-6.4pp
29%
Draw
23%
+6.1pp
24%
Away Win
24%
+0.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
42%
+8.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
58%
-8.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
57%
-4.3pp
47%
BTTS No
43%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Greifswalder SV EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Lokomotive Leipzig EU Bookmakers 27%
+21% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / -1%
1.93/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.81
-1% / +56% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -6%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
366 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Greifswalder SV
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Lokomotive Leipzig
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 2
26.08.2023 Lokomotive Leipzig Lokomotive Leipzig 0-1 HT 0-1 Greifswalder SV Greifswalder SV ALMBÖL
17.02.2023 Lokomotive Leipzig Lokomotive Leipzig 3-1 HT 0-1 Greifswalder SV Greifswalder SV ALMBÖL
28.08.2022 Greifswalder SV Greifswalder SV 3-1 HT 3-1 Lokomotive Leipzig Lokomotive Leipzig ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Greifswalder SV vs Lokomotive Leipzig
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Greifswalder SV cruised past Lokomotive Leipzig 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Greifswalder SV as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Greifswalder SV had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Greifswalder SV and 1.33 for Lokomotive Leipzig.

What was the final score of Greifswalder SV vs Lokomotive Leipzig?

Greifswalder SV 4-0 Lokomotive Leipzig in the Germany - Regional League on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Greifswalder SV vs Lokomotive Leipzig?

Before kick-off our model rated a Greifswalder SV win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Greifswalder SV 47%, draw 29%, Lokomotive Leipzig 24%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Greifswalder SV) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Greifswalder SV) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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