VfB Oldenburg 2-0 Weiche Flensburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 18 Feb 2024

📅18/02/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.0
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
35%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.1
Over 2.5
51%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.56
No
50%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
46%
-7.6pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.9pp
35%
Away Win
28%
+6.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
60%
-10.2pp
50%
BTTS No
40%
+10.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME VfB Oldenburg EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Weiche Flensburg EU Bookmakers 32%
+14% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +12%
1.97/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.79/1.15
+15% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / +40%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
338 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME VfB Oldenburg
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Weiche Flensburg
2.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
6 Yellow Cards 2
25.08.2023 Weiche Flensburg Weiche Flensburg 2-2 HT 0-1 VfB Oldenburg VfB Oldenburg ALMBÖL
24.04.2022 VfB Oldenburg VfB Oldenburg 4-0 HT 2-0 Weiche Flensburg Weiche Flensburg ALMBÖL
07.12.2019 Weiche Flensburg Weiche Flensburg 2-1 HT 0-1 VfB Oldenburg VfB Oldenburg ALMBÖL
09.02.2014 VfB Oldenburg VfB Oldenburg 2-2 HT 1-1 Weiche Flensburg Weiche Flensburg ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME VfB Oldenburg
2-0
AWAY Weiche Flensburg
54% Ball Possession 46%
21 Total Shots 13
11 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH VfB Oldenburg vs Weiche Flensburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

VfB Oldenburg beat Weiche Flensburg 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 27% / 35%) promised a tight game; VfB Oldenburg found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, VfB Oldenburg had 54% of the ball to Weiche Flensburg's 46%, shots finished 21-13.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.25 goals for VfB Oldenburg and 1.50 for Weiche Flensburg.

What was the final score of VfB Oldenburg vs Weiche Flensburg?

VfB Oldenburg 2-0 Weiche Flensburg in the Germany - Regional League on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for VfB Oldenburg vs Weiche Flensburg?

Before kick-off our model rated a VfB Oldenburg win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split VfB Oldenburg 38%, draw 27%, Weiche Flensburg 35%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (VfB Oldenburg) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (VfB Oldenburg) ✗ Over 2.5
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