Austria Lustenau 0-1 Austria Klagenfurt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 18 Feb 2024

Austria Lustenau
0-1 HT 0-1
Austria Klagenfurt
📅18/02/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Austria - Bundesliga – 2023/2024

Austria Lustenau vs Austria Klagenfurt Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.08
Draw
23%
3.18
Away
49%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.67
Over 2.5
56%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.9
No
49%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2.64
2-3 Goals
42%
1.75
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
27%
4.35
6+ Goals
10%
22.45
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 4.35 — our 27% vs market 17.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
5.11
1/2 EV+ ✗
10%
28.5
1/X
5%
14.3
X/1
15%
6.47
X/2
16%
4.41
X/X
10%
4.1
2/1
5%
34.0
2/2
23%
3.0
2/X
8%
13.95
Value flag · 1/2 at 28.5 — our 10% vs market 1.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
29%
-0.5pp
23%
Draw
28%
-5.0pp
49%
Away Win
43%
+5.6pp
44%
Under 2.5
56%
-11.8pp
56%
Over 2.5
44%
+11.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.3pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Austria Lustenau v Austria Klagenfurt — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Austria Lustenau EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Austria Klagenfurt EU Bookmakers 48%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
1.05/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.86/1.48
+33% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +39% / -46%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
249 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 74%
21.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.5
16.5 Crosses 18.3
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.3

Austria Lustenau vs Austria Klagenfurt Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Austria Lustenau
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Austria Klagenfurt
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.31 xG 1.08
49% Ball Possession 50%
7 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
341 Passes 222
77% Pass Accuracy 67%
18 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
23.09.2023 Austria Klagenfurt Austria Klagenfurt 1-0 HT 1-0 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau AVU
19.03.2023 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau 4-2 HT 2-1 Austria Klagenfurt Austria Klagenfurt AVU
08.10.2022 Austria Klagenfurt Austria Klagenfurt 2-1 HT 1-0 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau AVU
01.05.2021 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau 0-2 HT 0-0 Austria Klagenfurt Austria Klagenfurt AU2
29.11.2020 Austria Klagenfurt Austria Klagenfurt 2-1 HT 1-1 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau AU2
19.06.2020 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau 0-2 HT 0-2 Austria Klagenfurt Austria Klagenfurt AU2

Austria Lustenau 0-1 Austria Klagenfurt — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Austria Lustenau
0-1
AWAY Austria Klagenfurt
0.80 xG 1.69
31% Ball Possession 69%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
168 Passes 518
61% Pass Accuracy 80%
15 Box Touches 26
18 Crosses 25
4 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Austria Lustenau vs Austria Klagenfurt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Austria Klagenfurt nicked a narrow win over Austria Lustenau 1-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Austria Klagenfurt as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Austria Lustenau had 31% of the ball to Austria Klagenfurt's 69%, shots finished 11-9, expected goals 0.80 to 1.69.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Austria Klagenfurt led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Austria Lustenau and 1.83 for Austria Klagenfurt.

What was the final score of Austria Lustenau vs Austria Klagenfurt?

Austria Lustenau 0-1 Austria Klagenfurt in the Austria - Bundesliga on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Austria Lustenau vs Austria Klagenfurt?

Before kick-off our model rated an Austria Klagenfurt win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Austria Lustenau 28%, draw 23%, Austria Klagenfurt 49%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Austria Klagenfurt) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Austria Klagenfurt) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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