Shabab Al Ahli 2-1 Baniyas SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - Cumhurbaşkanlığı Cup, 18 Feb 2024

📅18/02/2024 · 🕒16:25 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.45
Draw
19%
4.34
Away
27%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.43
Over 2.5
56%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.66
No
48%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
64%
-10.6pp
19%
Draw
20%
-0.2pp
27%
Away Win
16%
+10.7pp
44%
Under 2.5
38%
+6.8pp
56%
Over 2.5
62%
-6.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.7pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shabab Al Ahli EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Baniyas SC EU Bookmakers 20%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -26% / -26%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -53%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
453 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shabab Al Ahli
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Baniyas SC
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
22.02.2021 Baniyas SC Baniyas SC 0-1 HT 0-0 Shabab Al Ahli Shabab Al Ahli BAECK
21.02.2020 Baniyas SC Baniyas SC 1-0 HT 1-0 Shabab Al Ahli Shabab Al Ahli BAECK
POST-MATCH Shabab Al Ahli vs Baniyas SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shabab Al Ahli squeezed past Baniyas SC 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had Shabab Al Ahli as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Shabab Al Ahli and 0.50 for Baniyas SC.

What was the final score of Shabab Al Ahli vs Baniyas SC?

Shabab Al Ahli 2-1 Baniyas SC in the UAE - Cumhurbaşkanlığı Cup on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shabab Al Ahli vs Baniyas SC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shabab Al Ahli win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Shabab Al Ahli 54%, draw 19%, Baniyas SC 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shabab Al Ahli), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Shabab Al Ahli) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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