Deinze 4-2 Beerschot VA — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 18 Feb 2024

📅18/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.25
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
38%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.23
Over 2.5
57%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.49
No
43%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.6
2-3 Goals
38%
1.89
4-5 Goals
29%
2.82
6+ Goals
12%
7.94
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
12%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
41%
-4.9pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.8pp
38%
Away Win
34%
+4.0pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.6pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.6pp
57%
BTTS Yes
63%
-5.8pp
43%
BTTS No
37%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deinze EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Beerschot VA EU Bookmakers 37%
+2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.18/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.86/1.04
+1% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / -3%
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
319 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 380 · 81%
23.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.4
23.6 Crosses 17.6
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deinze
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Beerschot VA
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.06 xG 1.75
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
240 Passes 414
74% Pass Accuracy 84%
12 Box Touches 26
12 Crosses 15
4 Yellow Cards 2
10.12.2023 Beerschot VA Beerschot VA 1-2 HT 0-0 Deinze Deinze BEL2
15.01.2023 Deinze Deinze 3-2 HT 2-0 Beerschot VA Beerschot VA BEL2
01.10.2022 Beerschot VA Beerschot VA 2-0 HT 1-0 Deinze Deinze BEL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deinze
4-2
AWAY Beerschot VA
1.68 xG 1.42
36% Ball Possession 64%
16 Total Shots 18
9 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 10
226 Passes 494
74% Pass Accuracy 89%
31 Box Touches 23
19 Crosses 36
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Deinze vs Beerschot VA
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deinze got the better of Beerschot VA 4-2. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (36% / 27% / 38%) promised a tight game; Deinze found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Deinze had 36% of the ball to Beerschot VA's 64%, shots finished 16-18, expected goals 1.68 to 1.42.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Deinze had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Deinze and 1.67 for Beerschot VA.

What was the final score of Deinze vs Beerschot VA?

Deinze 4-2 Beerschot VA in the Belgium - 1st Division on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deinze vs Beerschot VA?

Before kick-off our model rated an Beerschot VA win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Deinze 36%, draw 27%, Beerschot VA 38%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Beerschot VA) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Beerschot VA) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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