Standard Liege II 1-2 Boussu Dour Borinage — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 18 Feb 2024

📅18/02/2024 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
3.46
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
41%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.29
Over 2.5
54%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.55
No
56%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.6
2-3 Goals
39%
1.89
4-5 Goals
26%
2.82
6+ Goals
10%
7.93
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
22%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
26%
+11.3pp
22%
Draw
24%
-1.9pp
41%
Away Win
51%
-9.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
40%
+6.2pp
54%
Over 2.5
60%
-6.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
60%
-16.3pp
56%
BTTS No
40%
+16.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Standard Liege II EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Boussu Dour Borinage EU Bookmakers 55%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-1% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
285 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 407 · 81%
21.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18.6 Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Standard Liege II
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Boussu Dour Borinage
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.45 xG 0.91
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 6
295 Passes 353
78% Pass Accuracy 83%
16 Box Touches 30
19 Crosses 24
4 Yellow Cards 3
04.11.2023 Boussu Dour Borinage Boussu Dour Borinage 2-1 HT 1-0 Standard Liege II Standard Liege II BEL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Standard Liege II
1-2
AWAY Boussu Dour Borinage
0.78 xG 3.86
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 21
4 Shots on Target 13
5 Corners 13
276 Passes 383
75% Pass Accuracy 81%
21 Box Touches 45
17 Crosses 29
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Standard Liege II vs Boussu Dour Borinage
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Boussu Dour Borinage edged past Standard Liege II 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 22% / 41% — and on the day Boussu Dour Borinage made the difference. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Standard Liege II had 44% of the ball to Boussu Dour Borinage's 56%, shots finished 11-21, expected goals 0.78 to 3.86 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Boussu Dour Borinage's control.

What was the final score of Standard Liege II vs Boussu Dour Borinage?

Standard Liege II 1-2 Boussu Dour Borinage in the Belgium - 1st Division on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Standard Liege II vs Boussu Dour Borinage?

Before kick-off our model rated an Boussu Dour Borinage win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Standard Liege II 37%, draw 22%, Boussu Dour Borinage 41%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Boussu Dour Borinage), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Boussu Dour Borinage) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BEL2 More Belgium - 1st Division
18 Feb 2024
15:30 Patro Eisden vs RSC Anderlecht II Analysis →
18:00 Deinze vs Beerschot VA Analysis →