Troyes II 1-1 Sarre-Union — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 3, 18 Feb 2024

📅18/02/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
4.13
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
44%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under
45%
Over
55%
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
57%
No
43%
Total Goals
0-1
25%
2-3
39%
4-5
25%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
18%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
32%
Home Win
21%
+11.3pp
24%
Draw
22%
+2.1pp
44%
Away Win
57%
-13.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Troyes II The Market 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Sarre-Union The Market 62%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
245 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 476 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Troyes II
1-1
AWAY Sarre-Union
63% Ball Possession 37%
10 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Troyes II vs Sarre-Union
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Troyes II and Sarre-Union couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Sarre-Union at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (57%) landed while over 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

On the day, Troyes II had 63% of the ball to Sarre-Union's 37%, shots finished 10-8.

What was the final score of Troyes II vs Sarre-Union?

Troyes II 1-1 Sarre-Union in the France - National League 3 on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Troyes II vs Sarre-Union?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sarre-Union win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Troyes II 32%, draw 24%, Sarre-Union 44%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sarre-Union), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sarre-Union) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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