Valenciennes II 3-3 Lille II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 3, 18 Feb 2024

📅18/02/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
1.75
Draw
36%
3.72
Away
28%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
Over
51%
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
62%
No
38%
Total Goals
0-1
23%
2-3
46%
4-5
23%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
21%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 62%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
36%
Home Win
53%
-16.7pp
36%
Draw
24%
+12.8pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valenciennes II The Market 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Lille II The Market 27%
-67% / -67% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-100% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
396 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 236 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Valenciennes II
3-3
AWAY Lille II
48% Ball Possession 52%
16 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 8
1 Corners 1
POST-MATCH Valenciennes II vs Lille II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Valenciennes II and Lille II couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 36% / 27% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (62%) came in.

On the day, Valenciennes II had 48% of the ball to Lille II's 52%, shots finished 16-12.

What was the final score of Valenciennes II vs Lille II?

Valenciennes II 3-3 Lille II in the France - National League 3 on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valenciennes II vs Lille II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Valenciennes II win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Valenciennes II 36%, draw 36%, Lille II 27%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/36/27) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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