Mumbai City 2-0 Bengaluru — Result, Statistics & Match Review — India - Super League, 18 Feb 2024

Mumbai City
2-0 HT 1-0
Bengaluru
📅18/02/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
India - Super League – 2023/2024

Mumbai City vs Bengaluru Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.53
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
25%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.07
Over 2.5
54%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.82
No
47%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.82
2-3 Goals
42%
1.81
4-5 Goals
23%
3.14
6+ Goals
10%
10.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
22%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
61%
-8.8pp
23%
Draw
22%
+0.8pp
25%
Away Win
17%
+7.9pp
46%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.9pp
54%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+2.1pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Mumbai City v Bengaluru — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mumbai City EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Bengaluru EU Bookmakers 20%
-11% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +27% / +27%
1.52/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.31
-3% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / +12%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
375 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 75%
22.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.5
19.8 Crosses 12.2
2.8 Yellow Cards 1.9

Mumbai City vs Bengaluru Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mumbai City
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Bengaluru
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.70 xG 1.14
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 6
371 Passes 246
80% Pass Accuracy 74%
24 Box Touches 18
22 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
08.12.2023 Bengaluru Bengaluru 0-4 HT 0-2 Mumbai City Mumbai City HİNSL
12.03.2023 Bengaluru Bengaluru 1-2 HT 1-1 Mumbai City Mumbai City HİNSL
07.03.2023 Mumbai City Mumbai City 0-1 HT 0-0 Bengaluru Bengaluru HİNSL
15.02.2023 Bengaluru Bengaluru 2-1 HT 0-0 Mumbai City Mumbai City HİNSL
17.11.2022 Mumbai City Mumbai City 4-0 HT 2-0 Bengaluru Bengaluru HİNSL
10.01.2022 Mumbai City Mumbai City 0-3 HT 0-3 Bengaluru Bengaluru HİNSL

Mumbai City 2-0 Bengaluru — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mumbai City
2-0
AWAY Bengaluru
0.65 xG 1.24
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 2
0 Corners 5
207 Passes 259
73% Pass Accuracy 75%
10 Box Touches 15
13 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Mumbai City vs Bengaluru
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mumbai City saw off Bengaluru 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Mumbai City as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Mumbai City had 45% of the ball to Bengaluru's 55%, shots finished 7-14, expected goals 0.65 to 1.24 — the balance of chances actually favoured Bengaluru.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Mumbai City and 1.17 for Bengaluru.

What was the final score of Mumbai City vs Bengaluru?

Mumbai City 2-0 Bengaluru in the India - Super League on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mumbai City vs Bengaluru?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mumbai City win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Mumbai City 52%, draw 23%, Bengaluru 25%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mumbai City) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mumbai City) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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