18/02/2024
·
13:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-1
2nd Score
1-0
Banga Gargzdai vs Minija Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
Over 2.5
48%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
No
51%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
16%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
32%
22%
Draw
26%
37%
Away Win
42%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Banga Gargzdai v Minija — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Banga Gargzdai
EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY
Minija
EU Bookmakers 46%
+4% /
+4%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
+47%
/
-31%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
49%
Ball Possession
51%
15
Total Shots
11
7
Shots on Target
4
5
Corners
6
316 · 77%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
406 · 81%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Banga Gargzdai vs Minija
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Banga Gargzdai and Minija couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.
We called this one close before kick-off — 42% / 22% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
What was the final score of Banga Gargzdai vs Minija?
Banga Gargzdai 1-1 Minija in the Friendlies on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Banga Gargzdai vs Minija?
Before kick-off our model rated a Banga Gargzdai win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Banga Gargzdai 42%, draw 22%, Minija 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Banga Gargzdai), BTTS No went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Banga Gargzdai)
✓ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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HAZ
More Friendlies
18 Feb 2024