18/02/2024
·
11:15
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
0-1
Sokol Saratov vs Torpedo Miass Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
Over 2.5
49%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
No
58%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
45%
24%
Draw
27%
28%
Away Win
28%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sokol Saratov v Torpedo Miass — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Sokol Saratov
EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY
Torpedo Miass
EU Bookmakers 32%
+39% /
+39%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
+150%
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
50%
Ball Possession
50%
13
Total Shots
10
5
Shots on Target
4
6
Corners
5
333 · 74%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
253 · 69%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Sokol Saratov vs Torpedo Miass
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Sokol Saratov nicked a narrow win over Torpedo Miass 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Sokol Saratov as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (58%), and that read landed as well.
What was the final score of Sokol Saratov vs Torpedo Miass?
Sokol Saratov 1-0 Torpedo Miass in the Friendlies on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sokol Saratov vs Torpedo Miass?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sokol Saratov win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Sokol Saratov 48%, draw 24%, Torpedo Miass 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sokol Saratov), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Sokol Saratov)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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HAZ
More Friendlies
18 Feb 2024