Dinamo Zagreb 1-0 NK Varazdin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 18 Feb 2024

Dinamo Zagreb
1-0 HT 1-0
NK Varazdin
📅18/02/2024 · 🕒19:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
Croatia - 1. HNL – 2023/2024

Dinamo Zagreb vs NK Varazdin Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.3
Draw
23%
4.81
Away
17%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.0
Over 2.5
52%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.29
No
55%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.64
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
26%
3.25
6+ Goals
9%
11.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
5%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
73%
-12.9pp
23%
Draw
18%
+4.9pp
18%
Away Win
10%
+8.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
46%
+1.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
54%
-1.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
40%
+5.4pp
55%
BTTS No
60%
-5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Dinamo Zagreb v NK Varazdin — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dinamo Zagreb EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY NK Varazdin EU Bookmakers 12%
+0% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +18%
1.77/0.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/1.55
+9% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +19%
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
439 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 77%
34.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.0
22.8 Crosses 11.1
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.3

Dinamo Zagreb vs NK Varazdin Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dinamo Zagreb
3W-3D-0L
AWAY NK Varazdin
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.81 xG 0.72
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
440 Passes 260
85% Pass Accuracy 76%
31 Box Touches 11
19 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
05.11.2023 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin 1-1 HT 0-0 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb HIR
26.04.2023 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 2-0 HT 1-0 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin HIR
19.02.2023 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin 1-3 HT 0-0 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb HIR
16.10.2022 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 3-1 HT 0-1 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin HIR
05.08.2022 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin 1-1 HT 0-1 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb HIR
12.05.2021 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 2-2 HT 2-1 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin HIR

Dinamo Zagreb 1-0 NK Varazdin — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dinamo Zagreb
1-0
AWAY NK Varazdin
1.67 xG 0.99
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 5
435 Passes 374
85% Pass Accuracy 82%
23 Box Touches 14
13 Crosses 11
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Dinamo Zagreb vs NK Varazdin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dinamo Zagreb nicked a narrow win over NK Varazdin 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Dinamo Zagreb as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Dinamo Zagreb had 53% of the ball to NK Varazdin's 47%, shots finished 14-5, expected goals 1.67 to 0.99.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dinamo Zagreb had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Dinamo Zagreb and 1.00 for NK Varazdin.

What was the final score of Dinamo Zagreb vs NK Varazdin?

Dinamo Zagreb 1-0 NK Varazdin in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dinamo Zagreb vs NK Varazdin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dinamo Zagreb win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Dinamo Zagreb 60%, draw 23%, NK Varazdin 18%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dinamo Zagreb), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dinamo Zagreb) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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