Eastern District 3-1 Hoi King — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division, 18 Feb 2024

📅18/02/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.75
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
29%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.74
Over 2.5
54%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.39
No
45%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
16%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
6%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
53%
-8.8pp
27%
Draw
23%
+3.7pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+5.1pp
46%
Under 2.5
33%
+13.2pp
54%
Over 2.5
67%
-13.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
68%
-13.2pp
45%
BTTS No
32%
+13.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eastern District EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Hoi King EU Bookmakers 28%
-28% / -28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +45% / +45%
1.70/2.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.08/1.06
-2% / -41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +41% / +53%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
405 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.6 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eastern District
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Hoi King
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
10 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 1
15.10.2023 Hoi King Hoi King 1-1 HT 1-0 Eastern District Eastern District HK2
18.12.2022 Hoi King Hoi King 1-1 HT 0-0 Eastern District Eastern District HK2
POST-MATCH Eastern District vs Hoi King
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eastern District got the better of Hoi King 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Eastern District as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Eastern District and 1.00 for Hoi King.

What was the final score of Eastern District vs Hoi King?

Eastern District 3-1 Hoi King in the Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eastern District vs Hoi King?

Before kick-off our model rated a Eastern District win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Eastern District 44%, draw 27%, Hoi King 29%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Eastern District), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Eastern District) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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