Sai Kung 1-2 Citizen AA — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division, 18 Feb 2024

📅18/02/2024 · 🕒12:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
5.91
Draw
21%
4.81
Away
60%
1.4
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
2.96
Over 2.5
65%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.56
No
45%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
38%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
9%
1/X
3%
X/1
4%
X/2
21%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
30%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
14%
+4.3pp
21%
Draw
18%
+3.1pp
60%
Away Win
68%
-7.4pp
35%
Under 2.5
30%
+5.1pp
65%
Over 2.5
70%
-5.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.4pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sai Kung EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Citizen AA EU Bookmakers 71%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -42% / -42%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -46%
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
292 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 449 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sai Kung
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Citizen AA
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
15.10.2023 Citizen AA Citizen AA 2-0 HT 0-0 Sai Kung Sai Kung HK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sai Kung
1-2
AWAY Citizen AA
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sai Kung vs Citizen AA
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Citizen AA squeezed past Sai Kung 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Citizen AA as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Sai Kung had 55% of the ball to Citizen AA's 45%, shots finished 15-14.

What was the final score of Sai Kung vs Citizen AA?

Sai Kung 1-2 Citizen AA in the Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sai Kung vs Citizen AA?

Before kick-off our model rated an Citizen AA win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Sai Kung 19%, draw 21%, Citizen AA 60%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Citizen AA), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Citizen AA) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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