Floriana 2-2 Balzan FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - Premier League, 18 Feb 2024

📅18/02/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.42
Draw
28%
4.08
Away
19%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.78
Over 2.5
35%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.19
No
62%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
9%
X/X
20%
2/1
7%
2/2
5%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
66%
-13.2pp
28%
Draw
22%
+6.5pp
19%
Away Win
12%
+6.7pp
65%
Under 2.5
52%
+12.4pp
35%
Over 2.5
48%
-12.4pp
38%
BTTS Yes
42%
-3.6pp
62%
BTTS No
58%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Floriana EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Balzan FC EU Bookmakers 15%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -26% / -26%
1.33/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.31/1.31
-9% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -65% / +26%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
224 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 244 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Floriana
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Balzan FC
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
7 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
01.10.2023 Balzan FC Balzan FC 0-3 HT 0-0 Floriana Floriana MLTP
05.03.2023 Balzan FC Balzan FC 3-1 HT 3-0 Floriana Floriana MLTP
23.10.2022 Floriana Floriana 0-0 HT 0-0 Balzan FC Balzan FC MLTP
06.02.2022 Floriana Floriana 2-1 HT 1-0 Balzan FC Balzan FC MLTP
16.10.2021 Balzan FC Balzan FC 1-2 HT 0-1 Floriana Floriana MLTP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Floriana
2-2
AWAY Balzan FC
61% Ball Possession 39%
22 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Floriana vs Balzan FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Floriana and Balzan FC couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Floriana at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Floriana had 61% of the ball to Balzan FC's 39%, shots finished 22-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Floriana had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Floriana and 1.00 for Balzan FC.

What was the final score of Floriana vs Balzan FC?

Floriana 2-2 Balzan FC in the Malta - Premier League on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Floriana vs Balzan FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Floriana win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Floriana 53%, draw 28%, Balzan FC 19%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Floriana) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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