Hamrun Spartans 2-0 Sirens — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - Premier League, 18 Feb 2024

📅18/02/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
70%
1.18
Draw
16%
5.71
Away
14%
12.05
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.23
Over 2.5
52%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.75
No
63%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
26%
X/2
5%
X/X
7%
2/1
4%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
70%
Home Win
80%
-9.9pp
16%
Draw
14%
+2.0pp
13%
Away Win
6%
+7.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.3pp
37%
BTTS Yes
32%
+5.3pp
63%
BTTS No
68%
-5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hamrun Spartans EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Sirens EU Bookmakers 8%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
2.07/0.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.53
+8% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +11%
61% Ball Possession 39%
18 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
449 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 182 · 66%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hamrun Spartans
4W-1D-0L
AWAY Sirens
2.20 Avg Goals (FT) 0.20
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.10.2023 Sirens Sirens 0-4 HT 0-2 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans MLTP
29.01.2023 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans 3-0 HT 2-0 Sirens Sirens MLTP
10.09.2022 Sirens Sirens 0-2 HT 0-1 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans MLTP
19.02.2022 Sirens Sirens 1-1 HT 0-1 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans MLTP
30.10.2021 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans 1-0 HT 0-0 Sirens Sirens MLTP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hamrun Spartans
2-0
AWAY Sirens
62% Ball Possession 38%
5 Total Shots 0
3 Shots on Target 0
8 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Hamrun Spartans vs Sirens
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hamrun Spartans saw off Sirens 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Hamrun Spartans as the likeliest winner at 70%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (63%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Hamrun Spartans had 62% of the ball to Sirens's 38%, shots finished 5-0.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Hamrun Spartans had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.20 goals for Hamrun Spartans and 0.20 for Sirens.

What was the final score of Hamrun Spartans vs Sirens?

Hamrun Spartans 2-0 Sirens in the Malta - Premier League on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hamrun Spartans vs Sirens?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hamrun Spartans win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split Hamrun Spartans 70%, draw 16%, Sirens 13%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hamrun Spartans), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hamrun Spartans) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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