Deportivo Ocotal 1-2 UNAN Managua — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 18 Feb 2024

📅18/02/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.27
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
39%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.95
Over 2.5
56%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.63
No
49%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
21%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
40%
-4.4pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.9pp
39%
Away Win
33%
+6.4pp
44%
Under 2.5
48%
-3.2pp
56%
Over 2.5
52%
+3.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
57%
-5.8pp
49%
BTTS No
43%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Ocotal EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY UNAN Managua EU Bookmakers 37%
+0% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
0.93/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.01/1.77
-39% / +70% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +97% / -24%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
210 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 382 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Ocotal
3W-0D-3L
AWAY UNAN Managua
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
29.10.2023 Deportivo Ocotal Deportivo Ocotal 3-0 HT 0-0 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua NİK
27.08.2023 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua 3-2 HT 2-0 Deportivo Ocotal Deportivo Ocotal NİK
02.04.2023 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua 2-4 HT 0-1 Deportivo Ocotal Deportivo Ocotal NİK
10.02.2023 Deportivo Ocotal Deportivo Ocotal 1-0 HT 1-0 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua NİK
23.10.2022 Deportivo Ocotal Deportivo Ocotal 2-3 HT 1-1 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua NİK
25.08.2022 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua 2-0 HT 1-0 Deportivo Ocotal Deportivo Ocotal NİK
POST-MATCH Deportivo Ocotal vs UNAN Managua
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UNAN Managua edged past Deportivo Ocotal 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 25% / 39% — and on the day UNAN Managua made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Deportivo Ocotal and 1.67 for UNAN Managua.

What was the final score of Deportivo Ocotal vs UNAN Managua?

Deportivo Ocotal 1-2 UNAN Managua in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Ocotal vs UNAN Managua?

Before kick-off our model rated an UNAN Managua win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Ocotal 36%, draw 25%, UNAN Managua 39%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (UNAN Managua), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (UNAN Managua) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
NİK More Nikaragua - Premier League
18 Feb 2024
00:00 Matagalpa vs Orgánica Masachapa Analysis →