Matagalpa 3-2 Orgánica Masachapa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 18 Feb 2024

📅18/02/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.02
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
29%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.82
Over 2.5
46%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.75
No
52%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
45%
-0.2pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.8pp
29%
Away Win
28%
+1.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
51%
+2.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
49%
-2.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.5pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Matagalpa EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Orgánica Masachapa EU Bookmakers 32%
-21% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -50% / -50%
1.27/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/2.00
-14% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -26%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
346 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Matagalpa
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Orgánica Masachapa
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
7 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 3
30.10.2023 Matagalpa Matagalpa 5-0 HT 4-0 Orgánica Masachapa NİK
27.08.2023 Orgánica Masachapa 2-1 HT 1-1 Matagalpa Matagalpa NİK
POST-MATCH Matagalpa vs Orgánica Masachapa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Matagalpa squeezed past Orgánica Masachapa 3-2. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Matagalpa as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Matagalpa and 1.00 for Orgánica Masachapa.

What was the final score of Matagalpa vs Orgánica Masachapa?

Matagalpa 3-2 Orgánica Masachapa in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Matagalpa vs Orgánica Masachapa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Matagalpa win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Matagalpa 45%, draw 26%, Orgánica Masachapa 29%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Matagalpa) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Matagalpa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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