Paloma 2-1 Düneberg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Oberliga, 18 Feb 2024

📅18/02/2024 · 🕒12:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
3.32
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
31%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
Over 2.5
56%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
No
46%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
14%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
27%
+14.8pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.2pp
31%
Away Win
45%
-14.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paloma EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Düneberg EU Bookmakers 49%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
308 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 431 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Paloma vs Düneberg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paloma nicked a narrow win over Düneberg 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had Paloma as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Paloma vs Düneberg?

Paloma 2-1 Düneberg in the Germany - Oberliga on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paloma vs Düneberg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Paloma win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Paloma 42%, draw 28%, Düneberg 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Paloma), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Paloma) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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