Union Tornesch 2-3 HEBC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Oberliga, 18 Feb 2024

📅18/02/2024 · 🕒16:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.09
Draw
32%
3.45
Away
30%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
30%
Over 2.5
70%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
65%
No
35%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
30%
4-5 Goals
39%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
9%
1/X
13%
X/1
9%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
11%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
44%
-5.8pp
32%
Draw
26%
+5.9pp
30%
Away Win
30%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union Tornesch EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY HEBC EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
324 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 363 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Union Tornesch
0W-1D-0L
AWAY HEBC
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
29% Ball Possession 71%
6 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
10.09.2023 HEBC 3-3 HT 2-1 Union Tornesch Union Tornesch OBER
POST-MATCH Union Tornesch vs HEBC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

HEBC edged past Union Tornesch 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (38% / 32% / 30%) promised a tight game; HEBC found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (70%), both teams to score (65%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Union Tornesch vs HEBC?

Union Tornesch 2-3 HEBC in the Germany - Oberliga on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union Tornesch vs HEBC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Union Tornesch win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Union Tornesch 38%, draw 32%, HEBC 30%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Union Tornesch) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Union Tornesch) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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