Nieciecza 1-1 Chrobry Glogow — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 18 Feb 2024

📅18/02/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.49
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
25%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.95
Over 2.5
51%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.95
No
53%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.46
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.37
6+ Goals
13%
12.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.46 — our 26% vs market 23.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
62%
-12.2pp
25%
Draw
22%
+2.7pp
25%
Away Win
16%
+9.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.2pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nieciecza EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Chrobry Glogow EU Bookmakers 19%
+1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +2%
1.84/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.73
+3% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -11%
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
390 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 238 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nieciecza
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Chrobry Glogow
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
62% Ball Possession 38%
19 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.08.2023 Chrobry Glogow Chrobry Glogow 0-5 HT 0-1 Nieciecza Nieciecza POL1
04.03.2023 Chrobry Glogow Chrobry Glogow 0-2 HT 0-2 Nieciecza Nieciecza POL1
11.08.2022 Nieciecza Nieciecza 3-1 HT 0-1 Chrobry Glogow Chrobry Glogow POL1
19.05.2021 Nieciecza Nieciecza 0-0 HT 0-0 Chrobry Glogow Chrobry Glogow POL1
04.11.2020 Chrobry Glogow Chrobry Glogow 0-2 HT 0-1 Nieciecza Nieciecza POL1
23.11.2019 Nieciecza Nieciecza 4-0 HT 1-0 Chrobry Glogow Chrobry Glogow POL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nieciecza
1-1
AWAY Chrobry Glogow
64% Ball Possession 36%
22 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 7
10 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Nieciecza vs Chrobry Glogow
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nieciecza and Chrobry Glogow couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Nieciecza at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Nieciecza had 64% of the ball to Chrobry Glogow's 36%, shots finished 22-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nieciecza had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Nieciecza and 0.17 for Chrobry Glogow.

What was the final score of Nieciecza vs Chrobry Glogow?

Nieciecza 1-1 Chrobry Glogow in the Poland - 1st Division on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nieciecza vs Chrobry Glogow?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nieciecza win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Nieciecza 50%, draw 25%, Chrobry Glogow 25%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Nieciecza) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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