Zaglebie Sosnowiec 0-1 Znicz Pruszkow — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 18 Feb 2024

📅18/02/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
38%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.62
Over 2.5
53%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.9
No
48%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.58
2-3 Goals
41%
1.75
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
22%
4.46
6+ Goals
12%
23.75
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 4.46 — our 22% vs market 16.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
34%
+1.8pp
26%
Draw
29%
-3.1pp
38%
Away Win
37%
+1.3pp
47%
Under 2.5
58%
-11.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
42%
+11.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.3pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zaglebie Sosnowiec EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Znicz Pruszkow EU Bookmakers 40%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
1.31/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/0.68
-1% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +86%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
303 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zaglebie Sosnowiec
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Znicz Pruszkow
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
04.08.2023 Znicz Pruszkow Znicz Pruszkow 1-0 HT 1-0 Zaglebie Sosnowiec Zaglebie Sosnowiec POL1
30.10.2014 Zaglebie Sosnowiec Zaglebie Sosnowiec 3-2 HT 3-0 Znicz Pruszkow Znicz Pruszkow POL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zaglebie Sosnowiec
0-1
AWAY Znicz Pruszkow
61% Ball Possession 39%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Znicz Pruszkow
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Znicz Pruszkow squeezed past Zaglebie Sosnowiec 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (36% / 26% / 38%) promised a tight game; Znicz Pruszkow found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Zaglebie Sosnowiec had 61% of the ball to Znicz Pruszkow's 39%, shots finished 9-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Zaglebie Sosnowiec and 1.50 for Znicz Pruszkow.

What was the final score of Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Znicz Pruszkow?

Zaglebie Sosnowiec 0-1 Znicz Pruszkow in the Poland - 1st Division on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Znicz Pruszkow?

Before kick-off our model rated an Znicz Pruszkow win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Zaglebie Sosnowiec 36%, draw 26%, Znicz Pruszkow 38%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Znicz Pruszkow) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Znicz Pruszkow) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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