Backa Topola vs Radnik Surdulica Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Backa Topola v Radnik Surdulica — Team-Based Signals
Backa Topola vs Radnik Surdulica Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-1
Backa Topola
SIRP
0-1
HT 0-0
Backa Topola
SIRP
2-1
HT 1-1
Radnik Surdulica
SIRP
0-0
HT 0-0
Radnik Surdulica
SIRP
2-1
HT 1-0
Backa Topola
SIRP
1-1
HT 1-1
Radnik Surdulica
SIRBK
Backa Topola 1-0 Radnik Surdulica — Actual Match Statistics
Backa Topola nicked a narrow win over Radnik Surdulica 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Backa Topola as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (62%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Backa Topola had 72% of the ball to Radnik Surdulica's 28%, shots finished 20-2, expected goals 3.17 to 0.16 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Backa Topola's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Backa Topola had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Backa Topola and 0.67 for Radnik Surdulica.
What was the final score of Backa Topola vs Radnik Surdulica?
Backa Topola 1-0 Radnik Surdulica in the Serbia - Super League on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Backa Topola vs Radnik Surdulica?
Before kick-off our model rated a Backa Topola win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Backa Topola 57%, draw 28%, Radnik Surdulica 15%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Backa Topola), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.