Spartak Subotica 0-1 Mladost Lucani — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 18 Feb 2024

📅18/02/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.25
Draw
23%
3.04
Away
35%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.59
Over 2.5
45%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.96
No
55%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
13%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
41%
+0.9pp
23%
Draw
30%
-6.1pp
35%
Away Win
30%
+5.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
59%
-3.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
41%
+3.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.9pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spartak Subotica EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Mladost Lucani EU Bookmakers 33%
+6% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / -1%
1.62/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.21
+49% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +31%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
269 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 230 · 65%
22.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
19.7 Crosses 17.0
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Spartak Subotica
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Mladost Lucani
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.49 xG 0.94
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
267 Passes 243
72% Pass Accuracy 70%
20 Box Touches 21
22 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 3
03.09.2023 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani 2-1 HT 1-0 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica SIRP
15.05.2023 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica 2-0 HT 0-0 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani SIRP
24.10.2022 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica 1-1 HT 0-0 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani SIRP
09.07.2022 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani 1-1 HT 0-1 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica SIRP
05.12.2021 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica 0-0 HT 0-0 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani SIRP
07.08.2021 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani 1-2 HT 0-1 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Spartak Subotica
0-1
AWAY Mladost Lucani
0.52 xG 0.49
60% Ball Possession 40%
11 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 2
437 Passes 274
81% Pass Accuracy 76%
18 Box Touches 9
30 Crosses 13
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Spartak Subotica vs Mladost Lucani
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mladost Lucani squeezed past Spartak Subotica 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Spartak Subotica at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Spartak Subotica had 60% of the ball to Mladost Lucani's 40%, shots finished 11-6, expected goals 0.52 to 0.49.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Spartak Subotica had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Spartak Subotica and 0.83 for Mladost Lucani.

What was the final score of Spartak Subotica vs Mladost Lucani?

Spartak Subotica 0-1 Mladost Lucani in the Serbia - Super League on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spartak Subotica vs Mladost Lucani?

Before kick-off our model rated a Spartak Subotica win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Spartak Subotica 42%, draw 23%, Mladost Lucani 35%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Spartak Subotica) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Spartak Subotica) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
SIRP More Serbia - Super League
18 Feb 2024
15:00 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac vs Vojvodina Analysis →
19:00 Radnicki Nis vs Javor Ivanjica Analysis →
19:00 Backa Topola vs Radnik Surdulica Analysis →