Aiolikos 3-1 Apollon Kalamarias — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Superlig 2, 18 Feb 2024

📅18/02/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
7.95
Draw
16%
5.28
Away
63%
1.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
Over 2.5
46%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
No
54%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
4%
X/2
13%
X/X
4%
2/1
4%
2/2
42%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
10%
+11.5pp
16%
Draw
16%
+0.5pp
63%
Away Win
75%
-12.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aiolikos EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Apollon Kalamarias EU Bookmakers 80%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
37% Ball Possession 63%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
215 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 472 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Aiolikos vs Apollon Kalamarias
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aiolikos got the better of Apollon Kalamarias 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Apollon Kalamarias at 63% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

What was the final score of Aiolikos vs Apollon Kalamarias?

Aiolikos 3-1 Apollon Kalamarias in the Greece - Superlig 2 on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aiolikos vs Apollon Kalamarias?

Before kick-off our model rated an Apollon Kalamarias win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Aiolikos 21%, draw 16%, Apollon Kalamarias 63%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Apollon Kalamarias) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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