Kozani 0-1 AEK Athens II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Superlig 2, 18 Feb 2024

📅18/02/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.11
Draw
24%
7.78
Away
16%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
Over 2.5
39%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
33%
No
67%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
30%
X/2
5%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
84%
-24.7pp
24%
Draw
9%
+14.9pp
16%
Away Win
6%
+9.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kozani EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY AEK Athens II EU Bookmakers 9%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +62% / -34%
64% Ball Possession 36%
21 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 5
541 · 89% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 226 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Kozani vs AEK Athens II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AEK Athens II nicked a narrow win over Kozani 1-0 away from home.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Kozani at 60% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (67%) came in.

What was the final score of Kozani vs AEK Athens II?

Kozani 0-1 AEK Athens II in the Greece - Superlig 2 on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kozani vs AEK Athens II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kozani win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Kozani 60%, draw 24%, AEK Athens II 16%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Kozani) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kozani) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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