AEK Atina 3-0 Kifisia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 18 Feb 2024

📅18/02/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 4-0 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
68%
1.16
Draw
19%
6.26
Away
13%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.63
Over 2.5
60%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.29
No
58%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
6.01
2-3 Goals
36%
2.05
4-5 Goals
28%
2.53
6+ Goals
15%
5.64
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1.23
1/2
3%
34.0
1/X
5%
34.0
X/1
21%
3.3
X/2
5%
34.0
X/X
11%
11.8
2/1
6%
25.0
2/2
5%
29.5
2/X
3%
34.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
68%
Home Win
81%
-13.0pp
19%
Draw
13%
+6.5pp
13%
Away Win
6%
+6.5pp
40%
Under 2.5
34%
+6.2pp
60%
Over 2.5
66%
-6.2pp
42%
BTTS Yes
40%
+2.7pp
58%
BTTS No
60%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AEK Atina EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Kifisia EU Bookmakers 9%
-3% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
2.23/0.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.93
-4% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -4%
63% Ball Possession 37%
20 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
516 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 226 · 72%
34.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.0
25.7 Crosses 11.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 4.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AEK Atina
3W-2D-0L
AWAY Kifisia
2.20 Avg Goals (FT) 0.40
1.48 xG 0.36
62% Ball Possession 38%
19 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
498 Passes 103
83% Pass Accuracy 53%
42 Box Touches 11
36 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
04.11.2023 Kifisia Kifisia 1-1 HT 0-0 AEK Atina AEK Atina YUN
11.01.2023 AEK Atina AEK Atina 3-0 HT 1-0 Kifisia Kifisia YUK
15.12.2022 Kifisia Kifisia 0-2 HT 0-2 AEK Atina AEK Atina YUK
23.12.2021 Kifisia Kifisia 1-1 HT 0-0 AEK Atina AEK Atina YUK
01.12.2021 AEK Atina AEK Atina 4-0 HT 0-0 Kifisia Kifisia YUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AEK Atina
3-0
AWAY Kifisia
2.92 xG 0.12
79% Ball Possession 21%
28 Total Shots 2
11 Shots on Target 0
10 Corners 0
546 Passes 97
89% Pass Accuracy 57%
50 Box Touches 2
35 Crosses 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH AEK Atina vs Kifisia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AEK Atina cruised past Kifisia 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had AEK Atina as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, AEK Atina had 79% of the ball to Kifisia's 21%, shots finished 28-2, expected goals 2.92 to 0.12.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, AEK Atina had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.20 goals for AEK Atina and 0.40 for Kifisia.

What was the final score of AEK Atina vs Kifisia?

AEK Atina 3-0 Kifisia in the Greece - Super League on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AEK Atina vs Kifisia?

Before kick-off our model rated a AEK Atina win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split AEK Atina 68%, draw 19%, Kifisia 13%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AEK Atina), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (AEK Atina) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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