Ilkeston Town 1-2 Stockton Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 18 Feb 2025

Ilkeston Town
1-2 HT 0-2
Stockton Town
📅18/02/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
England - Non League Premier – 2024/2025

Ilkeston Town vs Stockton Town Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.19
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
29%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.1
Over 2.5
55%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.56
No
44%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
21%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
13%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
42%
+4.5pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.3pp
29%
Away Win
32%
-3.1pp
45%
Under 2.5
44%
+0.9pp
55%
Over 2.5
56%
-0.9pp
56%
BTTS Yes
60%
-4.3pp
44%
BTTS No
40%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ilkeston Town v Stockton Town — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ilkeston Town EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Stockton Town EU Bookmakers 36%
-12% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
1.70/1.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/1.26
+10% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +24%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
373 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.0

Ilkeston Town 1-2 Stockton Town — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ilkeston Town
1-2
AWAY Stockton Town
55% Ball Possession 45%
19 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 8
7 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ilkeston Town vs Stockton Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stockton Town nicked a narrow win over Ilkeston Town 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Ilkeston Town at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Ilkeston Town had 55% of the ball to Stockton Town's 45%, shots finished 19-10.

What was the final score of Ilkeston Town vs Stockton Town?

Ilkeston Town 1-2 Stockton Town in the England - Non League Premier on 18/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ilkeston Town vs Stockton Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ilkeston Town win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Ilkeston Town 46%, draw 24%, Stockton Town 29%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ilkeston Town) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ilkeston Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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