Matlock Town 2-2 Ashton United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 18 Feb 2025

Matlock Town
2-2 HT 0-1
Ashton United
📅18/02/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
England - Non League Premier – 2024/2025

Matlock Town vs Ashton United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.47
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
36%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.1
Over 2.5
52%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.56
No
42%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
14%
2/1
10%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
37%
-2.0pp
30%
Draw
25%
+4.2pp
36%
Away Win
38%
-2.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.5pp
58%
BTTS Yes
60%
-2.0pp
42%
BTTS No
40%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Matlock Town v Ashton United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Matlock Town EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Ashton United EU Bookmakers 42%
+4% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +13%
1.66/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.79/1.00
+12% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +47%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
298 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.1

Matlock Town vs Ashton United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Matlock Town
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Ashton United
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
17.09.2024 Ashton United Ashton United 3-2 HT 2-0 Matlock Town Matlock Town İNGNLP
22.04.2024 Matlock Town Matlock Town 5-1 HT 2-0 Ashton United Ashton United İNGNLP
17.10.2023 Ashton United Ashton United 5-0 HT 1-0 Matlock Town Matlock Town İNGNLP
04.03.2023 Matlock Town Matlock Town 1-1 HT 1-0 Ashton United Ashton United İNGNLP
27.09.2022 Ashton United Ashton United 0-1 HT 0-0 Matlock Town Matlock Town İNGNLP
08.03.2022 Matlock Town Matlock Town 1-1 HT 1-1 Ashton United Ashton United İNGNLP

Matlock Town 2-2 Ashton United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Matlock Town
2-2
AWAY Ashton United
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Matlock Town vs Ashton United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Matlock Town and Ashton United shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 30% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, Matlock Town had 52% of the ball to Ashton United's 48%, shots finished 11-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Matlock Town and 1.83 for Ashton United.

What was the final score of Matlock Town vs Ashton United?

Matlock Town 2-2 Ashton United in the England - Non League Premier on 18/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Matlock Town vs Ashton United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ashton United win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Matlock Town 35%, draw 30%, Ashton United 36%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ashton United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ashton United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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