Matlock Town vs Ashton United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Matlock Town v Ashton United — Team-Based Signals
Matlock Town vs Ashton United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
5-0
HT 1-0
Matlock Town
İNGNLP
1-1
HT 1-0
Ashton United
İNGNLP
0-1
HT 0-0
Matlock Town
İNGNLP
1-1
HT 1-1
Ashton United
İNGNLP
2-0
HT 2-0
Matlock Town
İNGNLP
4-1
HT 2-1
Ashton United
İNGNLP
Matlock Town 5-1 Ashton United — Actual Match Statistics
Matlock Town ran out comfortable winners over Ashton United 5-1. Half-time: 2-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 26% / 38% — and on the day Matlock Town made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Matlock Town had 46% of the ball to Ashton United's 54%, shots finished 15-11.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Matlock Town and 1.67 for Ashton United.
What was the final score of Matlock Town vs Ashton United?
Matlock Town 5-1 Ashton United in the England - Non League Premier on 22/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Matlock Town vs Ashton United?
Before kick-off our model rated an Ashton United win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Matlock Town 36%, draw 26%, Ashton United 38%. The final score 5-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.