Plymouth Parkway 0-3 AFC Totton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 22 Apr 2024

📅22/04/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.94
Draw
35%
3.54
Away
31%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.9
Over 2.5
40%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
9%
1/X
11%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
31%
+3.1pp
35%
Draw
25%
+9.4pp
31%
Away Win
44%
-12.5pp
60%
Under 2.5
49%
+11.1pp
40%
Over 2.5
51%
-11.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.9pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Plymouth Parkway EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY AFC Totton EU Bookmakers 48%
+29% / +29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
2.46/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.01/1.45
+72% / +54% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / -7%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
285 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 383 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Plymouth Parkway
0W-1D-2L
AWAY AFC Totton
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 3
19.03.2024 AFC Totton AFC Totton 2-0 Plymouth Parkway Plymouth Parkway İNGNLP
07.10.2023 AFC Totton AFC Totton 2-1 Plymouth Parkway Plymouth Parkway FAK
30.09.2023 Plymouth Parkway Plymouth Parkway 0-0 AFC Totton AFC Totton İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Plymouth Parkway
0-3
AWAY AFC Totton
52% Ball Possession 48%
5 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Plymouth Parkway vs AFC Totton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AFC Totton cruised past Plymouth Parkway 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (34% / 35% / 31%) promised a tight game; AFC Totton found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Plymouth Parkway had 52% of the ball to AFC Totton's 48%, shots finished 5-14.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, AFC Totton led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Plymouth Parkway and 1.33 for AFC Totton.

What was the final score of Plymouth Parkway vs AFC Totton?

Plymouth Parkway 0-3 AFC Totton in the England - Non League Premier on 22/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Plymouth Parkway vs AFC Totton?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Plymouth Parkway 34%, draw 35%, AFC Totton 31%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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