AFC Totton 2-0 Plymouth Parkway — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 19 Mar 2024

📅19/03/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.66
Draw
29%
3.72
Away
27%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.91
Over 2.5
44%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
23%
X/2
14%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
56%
-11.8pp
29%
Draw
23%
+5.2pp
27%
Away Win
21%
+6.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
48%
+7.9pp
44%
Over 2.5
52%
-7.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.9pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Totton EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Plymouth Parkway EU Bookmakers 24%
-22% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.64/1.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/2.00
-13% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / -11%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
377 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AFC Totton
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Plymouth Parkway
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
07.10.2023 AFC Totton AFC Totton 2-1 Plymouth Parkway Plymouth Parkway FAK
30.09.2023 Plymouth Parkway Plymouth Parkway 0-0 AFC Totton AFC Totton İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AFC Totton
2-0
AWAY Plymouth Parkway
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH AFC Totton vs Plymouth Parkway
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AFC Totton beat Plymouth Parkway 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had AFC Totton as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, AFC Totton had 58% of the ball to Plymouth Parkway's 42%, shots finished 12-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, AFC Totton had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for AFC Totton and 0.50 for Plymouth Parkway.

What was the final score of AFC Totton vs Plymouth Parkway?

AFC Totton 2-0 Plymouth Parkway in the England - Non League Premier on 19/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Totton vs Plymouth Parkway?

Before kick-off our model rated a AFC Totton win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split AFC Totton 44%, draw 29%, Plymouth Parkway 27%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AFC Totton), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (AFC Totton) ✓ Under 2.5
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