Radcliffe Borough 4-1 Morpeth Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 19 Mar 2024

📅19/03/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.45
Draw
22%
4.49
Away
27%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
3.14
Over 2.5
61%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.46
No
48%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
8%
2/1
10%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
64%
-13.7pp
22%
Draw
19%
+2.8pp
27%
Away Win
16%
+11.0pp
39%
Under 2.5
28%
+10.7pp
61%
Over 2.5
72%
-10.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
64%
-12.6pp
48%
BTTS No
36%
+12.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Radcliffe Borough EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Morpeth Town EU Bookmakers 20%
-3% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -7%
2.28/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/2.43
+11% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / -21%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
463 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Radcliffe Borough
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Morpeth Town
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
14.11.2023 Morpeth Town Morpeth Town 2-3 HT 0-0 Radcliffe Borough Radcliffe Borough İNGNLP
28.01.2023 Morpeth Town Morpeth Town 0-1 HT 0-0 Radcliffe Borough Radcliffe Borough İNGNLP
24.09.2022 Radcliffe Borough Radcliffe Borough 3-1 HT 1-0 Morpeth Town Morpeth Town İNGNLP
19.03.2022 Radcliffe Borough Radcliffe Borough 1-5 HT 1-5 Morpeth Town Morpeth Town İNGNLP
05.10.2021 Morpeth Town Morpeth Town 3-1 HT 3-1 Radcliffe Borough Radcliffe Borough İNGNLP
02.10.2021 Radcliffe Borough Radcliffe Borough 1-3 HT 0-3 Morpeth Town Morpeth Town FAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Radcliffe Borough
4-1
AWAY Morpeth Town
62% Ball Possession 38%
19 Total Shots 10
11 Shots on Target 4
13 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Radcliffe Borough vs Morpeth Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Radcliffe Borough swept aside Morpeth Town 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Radcliffe Borough as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%) came in.

On the day, Radcliffe Borough had 62% of the ball to Morpeth Town's 38%, shots finished 19-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Radcliffe Borough and 2.33 for Morpeth Town.

What was the final score of Radcliffe Borough vs Morpeth Town?

Radcliffe Borough 4-1 Morpeth Town in the England - Non League Premier on 19/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Radcliffe Borough vs Morpeth Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Radcliffe Borough win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Radcliffe Borough 51%, draw 22%, Morpeth Town 27%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Radcliffe Borough), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Radcliffe Borough) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İNGNLP More England - Non League Premier
19 Mar 2024
22:45 Hendon vs Poole Town Analysis →
22:45 AFC Totton vs Plymouth Parkway Analysis →
22:45 Whitby Town vs Guiseley Analysis →
22:45 Alvechurch vs AFC Telford United Analysis →
22:45 Needham Market vs Redditch United Analysis →
22:45 Stafford Rangers vs Macclesfield Analysis →