Ashton United 3-2 Matlock Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 17 Sep 2024

Ashton United
3-2 HT 2-0
Matlock Town
📅17/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
England - Non League Premier – 2024/2025

Ashton United vs Matlock Town Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.57
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
19%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.21
Over 2.5
50%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.68
No
52%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
11%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
59%
-2.5pp
24%
Draw
22%
+2.4pp
19%
Away Win
19%
+0.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
41%
+8.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
59%
-8.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.5pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ashton United v Matlock Town — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ashton United EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Matlock Town EU Bookmakers 22%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -4%
1.58/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.59/1.78
-24% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -52% / +0%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
407 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 82%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.1

Ashton United vs Matlock Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ashton United
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Matlock Town
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
22.04.2024 Matlock Town Matlock Town 5-1 HT 2-0 Ashton United Ashton United İNGNLP
17.10.2023 Ashton United Ashton United 5-0 HT 1-0 Matlock Town Matlock Town İNGNLP
04.03.2023 Matlock Town Matlock Town 1-1 HT 1-0 Ashton United Ashton United İNGNLP
27.09.2022 Ashton United Ashton United 0-1 HT 0-0 Matlock Town Matlock Town İNGNLP
08.03.2022 Matlock Town Matlock Town 1-1 HT 1-1 Ashton United Ashton United İNGNLP
14.08.2021 Ashton United Ashton United 2-0 HT 2-0 Matlock Town Matlock Town İNGNLP

Ashton United 3-2 Matlock Town — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ashton United
3-2
AWAY Matlock Town
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Ashton United vs Matlock Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ashton United edged past Matlock Town 3-2. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Ashton United as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Ashton United had 51% of the ball to Matlock Town's 49%, shots finished 8-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Ashton United and 1.33 for Matlock Town.

What was the final score of Ashton United vs Matlock Town?

Ashton United 3-2 Matlock Town in the England - Non League Premier on 17/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ashton United vs Matlock Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ashton United win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Ashton United 57%, draw 24%, Matlock Town 19%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ashton United) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ashton United) ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İNGNLP More England - Non League Premier
17 Sep 2024
21:45 Hebburn Town vs Whitby Town Analysis →
21:45 United of Manchester vs Macclesfield Analysis →
21:45 Mickleover Sports vs Worksop Town Analysis →
21:45 Workington vs Bamber Bridge Analysis →
21:45 Gainsborough Trinity vs Basford United Analysis →
21:45 Guiseley vs Morpeth Town Analysis →