Workington 1-2 Bamber Bridge — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 17 Sep 2024

📅17/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.12
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
30%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.23
Over 2.5
50%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.53
No
48%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
43%
-0.4pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.4pp
30%
Away Win
32%
-1.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
41%
+8.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
59%
-8.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
61%
-9.1pp
48%
BTTS No
39%
+9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Workington EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Bamber Bridge EU Bookmakers 36%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -17%
2.77/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.77
+70% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -12%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
349 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Workington
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Bamber Bridge
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
54% Ball Possession 46%
18 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
01.01.2024 Workington Workington 2-2 HT 1-0 Bamber Bridge Bamber Bridge İNGNLP
28.08.2023 Bamber Bridge Bamber Bridge 3-0 HT 3-0 Workington Workington İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Workington vs Bamber Bridge
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bamber Bridge squeezed past Workington 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Workington at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Bamber Bridge led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Workington and 2.50 for Bamber Bridge.

What was the final score of Workington vs Bamber Bridge?

Workington 1-2 Bamber Bridge in the England - Non League Premier on 17/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Workington vs Bamber Bridge?

Before kick-off our model rated a Workington win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Workington 43%, draw 27%, Bamber Bridge 30%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Workington) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Workington) ✓ BTTS Yes
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